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The Iran War: What are Trump’s Options and How Bad Could It Get ?

  Donald Trump has a problem on his hands…the USA as a nation now has an even bigger one. Having been persuaded by his advisors and Netanyahu that an all-out attack on the Iranian regime and its military wing, the IRGC, was the best solution to the ‘Iranian problem’, Trump was expecting the war to be over in a matter of days. This still seems to be his 'default' position for any campaign he starts, despite the lesson already provided by the Ukraine war and the continued attacks by all 3 of the Iranian proxies in the face of massive bombing campaigns. However, despite the intense battering he and the Israelis have administered over a wide area of their country in the last fortnight, and the progressive decapitation of the old leadership in Israeli raids, the IRGC are still managing to bombard their arab neighbours with their remaining stock of missiles and drones. More importantly for the West generally, they have effectively closed the Strait of Hormuz, and with it blocke...

The Future of Modern Warfare: World War 3 and Beyond

 Editor's note:  Last summer's outbreak of hostilities between Israel and Iran sadly bore out the prediction made in the previous revision of this blog for the eternal Middle East 'powder keg'.  Some might say it was inevitable that this particular conflict would come to a head soon, given Iran's determination to get a nuclear bomb, and the Ayatollah's openly declared intention to use it to destroy the state of Israel. The speed at which it happened does seem to have taken many by surprise, though. Arguably the Iranian regime has, by its actions over the last 40 years, brought its own inevitable destruction on itself. Unfortunately it's the Iranian people who will probably bear the brunt of the suffering that arises from its death throes, which now promise to be quite protracted......  For a more detailed look at Trump's options, and the likely outcomes, check out the most recent blog. Read on for some more background to the conflict.... -------- As of 1...